For Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, 2025 has been a year of dizzying highs, record peaks, and punishing selloffs. It now faces a significant risk: closing the year in negative territory for the first time since 2022.
Major global stock market indices have also experienced a tumultuous year. Concerns over tariffs, interest rates, and a potential artificial intelligence bubble have roiled markets, causing indices to repeatedly reach record highs only to sharply retreat. While equities have seen mostly gains year-to-date, Bitcoin's overall correlation with stock prices has notably strengthened in 2025.
Analysts observe that as more traditional retail and institutional investors turn to cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin's volatility increasingly mirrors 'equity market sentiment.' They further indicate that in the coming year, Bitcoin prices may become more tightly linked to factors affecting stocks and other risky assets, such as monetary policy shifts and concerns over high valuations in AI-related stocks.
"The crypto market's response to broad equity markets has been a consistent theme throughout 2025," stated Jasper De Maere, a strategist at Wintermute.
Peaked in October, Then a Historic Plunge
After an initial rally fueled by the election of crypto-friendly U.S. President Donald Trump early in the year, cryptocurrencies plummeted sharply in April alongside stocks following Trump's tariff announcements, though they staged a rapid recovery. Bitcoin surged to a new all-time high above $126,000 in early October.
However, just days later, on October 10th, a fresh round of threats from President Trump—including new tariffs on Chinese imports and export controls on critical software—triggered another severe market downturn. This event led to the liquidation of over $19 billion in leveraged crypto market positions, recorded as the largest liquidation wave in crypto history.
Risk of Closing Below $80,000
Bitcoin has struggled to recover since and experienced its largest monthly drop since mid-2021 in November. However, data from the options platform Derive.xyz shows that pessimism in the options market has somewhat subsided in recent weeks. As of last weekend, investors priced the probability of Bitcoin closing the year below $80,000 at 15%, down from 20% just a few weeks prior.
This situation still represents a significant blow to crypto bulls. This includes Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy, the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, which predicted as recently as October 30th that Bitcoin would reach $150,000 this year. Standard Chartered analysts had forecast last year that Bitcoin would hit $200,000 by the end of 2025, partly due to inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
https://www.bloomberght.com/bitcoin-2025-yilini-nasil-kapatacak-3763391
https://www.btccloudpool.com/
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